College Football's Flawed Teams Face Reckoning as SEC, Big Ten Schedules Heat Up
As the college football season moves past the cupcake nonconference games, the real picture is emerging for several marquee programs. Saturday's slate exposed serious flaws in teams like Texas A&M, USC, and Colorado, raising questions about their playoff viability and coaching stability as conference play intensifies.
The transition from mismatches to meaningful games has been jarring for some. Power conference teams that looked strong in September are now showing cracks that could define their seasons. Here is a look at the ten teams whose weaknesses were impossible to hide this weekend.
Texas A&M's Defense and Quarterback Play Raise Alarms
The Aggies were not just beaten at home by Kentucky; they were handled, trailing 28-7 entering the fourth quarter. Quarterback Marcel Reed continues to be feast-or-famine, throwing nine interceptions in his last five games against FBS competition.
More concerning for Aggies fans is a defense that ranks 14th in the SEC in yards allowed per play at 5.38. Texas A&M is also last in the conference in sacks with just four. With a trip to LSU looming and games against Texas and Tennessee still on the schedule, last year's playoff berth could feel like a distant memory.
USC's Defensive Struggles Persist Despite Coaching Changes
The Gary Patterson hype may have been premature. Rutgers, a team that has struggled all season, posted season highs in points, yards, and yards per play against the Trojans. USC is giving up 22.8 points per game, and they have yet to face a quality opponent. That changes Saturday when Oregon comes to Los Angeles.
Head coach Lincoln Riley keeps swapping defensive coordinators, but the same patterns persist. Poor play on long road trips and an inability to get stops suggest the problem may run deeper than the coordinator position.
CJ Bailey and NC State's Investment Not Paying Off
North Carolina State quarterback CJ Bailey authored the worst play of the season so far. A three-year starter who is paid well, Bailey has struggled significantly outside of an FCS walkover against Richmond. He had two turnovers in each of the losses to Virginia and Vanderbilt. With nine games left, the Wolfpack need a dramatic turnaround.
SMU's Turnover Problem Threatens ACC Title Hopes
Against FBS competition, the Mustangs are tied for last in the nation in turnover margin at minus-6. Kevin Jennings has always been a high-risk, high-reward quarterback, and that is not changing. Two turnovers at Louisville helped tip that game to the Cardinals, including a costly fumble at the goal line that became a touchback.
SMU's schedule should allow them to remain in the ACC race, but there is no room for error for a team that has been quite error-prone.
Colorado's Offense Stalls Without Star Power
Optimism in Boulder faded quickly after a 34-point loss to Northwestern. Former five-star quarterback Julian Lewis has been lackluster against FBS opponents, and Colorado has scored on just three of 22 offensive possessions against them. In Year 4 under Deion Sanders, the Buffaloes have yet to show they have a plan that works without a two-way Heisman Trophy winner and an NFL quarterback.
Arkansas Fans Show Frustration with Paper Bags
The Hogs are 1-2 and winless against power-conference competition since 2024. Many fans stayed home from the Georgia game, and some who attended wore paper bags over their heads. The fan unrest has gotten the attention of school leadership, which announced a review of the state of competitiveness of Arkansas athletics.
Arkansas is favored by a touchdown Saturday over 3-0 Tulsa. But other than conference affiliation, it is hard to see why.
South Carolina's Collapses Continue
The Gamecocks have taken leads of 30-3 and 16-0 in their last two SEC games and lost both. Saturday at home against Mississippi State, they gave up 27 straight points to lose a double-digit lead. South Carolina has lost seven straight games to FBS opponents, and fans are chanting about firing head coach Shane Beamer.
LSU's Pass Defense Loses Key Safety
LSU should have covered Ole Miss receiver Traylon Ray better than it did Saturday night. Ray had career highs in receptions and yards. It does not help that safety Dashawn Spears is out for the season after an ACL injury. The Tigers' defense will need to improve quickly with the playoff race heating up.
North Carolina's Collapse at Clemson Raises Questions
The Tar Heels jumped to a 17-3 lead at Clemson but fell apart in a 28-20 loss. The defense could not get stops, and once coordinator Bobby Petrino's opening script ran out, the offense became futile. Contrast the Heels with Duke, which lost a superstar quarterback and reinvented itself as a downhill running team. Manny Diaz is doing more with the Blue Devils than Bill Belichick is with the Heels.
Big Ten Scheduling Strategy Limits Marquee Wins
The Big Ten nearly took the weekend off, concocting a nonconference slate consisting of 11 buy games. Five Big Ten teams are not playing power-conference opponents or Notre Dame in nonleague play: Indiana, USC, Penn State, Nebraska, and Washington. That limits the number of chances for marquee nonconference wins, with Michigan over Oklahoma being the lone bright spot.
Playoff Bracket Projection
Here is how the 12-team College Football Playoff would look if Selection Sunday were today:
- No. 12 Tulsa at No. 5 Miami
- No. 11 BYU at No. 6 Notre Dame
- No. 10 Louisville at No. 7 Georgia
- No. 9 Mississippi State at No. 8 Alabama
Also considered: Duke, Utah, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech, UCLA, Pittsburgh, Tennessee, Iowa, West Virginia, Northwestern, Florida, Missouri.
Iowa remains on the outside looking in, but the Hawkeyes are in the conversation as the season progresses.