Illini on Upset Alert: Iowa Hawkeyes Among Big Ten Trap Games for 2026-27
Illinois basketball is poised for a dominant 2026-27 season, but a recent history of unexpected losses has put three Big Ten opponents on upset watch — including the Iowa Hawkeyes. For Iowa fans, this matchup represents a chance to prove last year's Elite Eight run was no fluke, even after losing star guard Bennett Stirtz.
Despite Illinois' loaded roster, the Hawkeyes under head coach Ben McCollum have shown they can compete. McCollum, widely regarded as one of the top coaches in the conference, led Iowa to a 10-10 Big Ten record last season and a stunning postseason run that ended at the hands of Illinois in the Elite Eight. With key transfers Ty'Reek Coleman and Andrew McKeever joining a returning wing rotation, Iowa is reloaded for another challenge.
Why Iowa is a Trap Game for Illinois
On paper, Illinois should cruise past Iowa at home in Champaign. But McCollum's system and Iowa's postseason grit make this a dangerous matchup. The Hawkeyes went toe-to-toe with Illinois in Iowa City last season, and with Stirtz gone, some may underestimate Iowa's depth. That would be a mistake.
Coleman adds backcourt firepower, while McKeever bolsters the frontcourt. Combined with McCollum's tactical acumen, Iowa is built to exploit any complacency from the Illini. Illinois has a recent habit of dropping games it should win, making this a genuine upset alert.
Ohio State and Minnesota Also on Upset Watch
The Illini also face potential pitfalls against Ohio State and Minnesota. Ohio State returns guard John Mobley Jr. (15.7 points per game) and adds five-star freshman Anthony Thompson, while Minnesota — a perennial Big Ten bottom-feeder — went 6-4 at home in league play last season and nearly upset Illinois in Champaign.
Minnesota's Niko Medved is building a competitive program, and the Gophers' home-court advantage could trip up the Illini. Ohio State's size and talent, especially Thompson, pose a matchup problem for Illinois' rebounding strength.
What This Means for Iowa Fans
For Iowa supporters, this is a validation of McCollum's program-building. The Hawkeyes are no longer a pushover in the Big Ten. With a smart coach, returning talent, and key transfers, Iowa is positioned to challenge elite teams like Illinois. The trap game label is a compliment — it means opponents see Iowa as a legitimate threat.
As the 2026-27 season approaches, expect Iowa to be a tough out, especially in games where they are underestimated. Illinois may be the favorite, but the Hawkeyes have the tools to pull off an upset.