Iowa Hawkeyes eye 7.5 wins as college football betting lines drop for 2026-27
The 2026-27 college football season is nearly here, and sportsbooks have released their over/under win totals for every FBS team. For Iowa Hawkeyes fans, the number to watch is 7.5.
According to BetMGM, the Hawkeyes are projected to win 7.5 games this season. That puts them in a crowded tier of teams with similar expectations, including traditional powers like Clemson, Florida, Oklahoma, and Tennessee.
Iowa State, meanwhile, faces a tougher outlook. The Cyclones check in at just 4.5 wins, a number that reflects the challenges ahead for Matt Campbell's program.
Notre Dame leads the pack at 11.5 wins
Notre Dame sits atop the board with an over/under of 11.5 wins, fueled by Heisman frontrunner quarterback CJ Carr. The Fighting Irish are the only team with a double-digit win total above 10.5.
Three teams share the 10.5 mark: defending national champion Indiana, runner-up Miami, and perennial contenders Oregon and Texas Tech. Indiana's rise to the top comes after a stunning championship run that shocked the college football world.
Bill Belichick and Deion Sanders face low expectations
Two high-profile coaching names are drawing low projections. Bill Belichick's North Carolina Tar Heels have a win total of just 4.5, as do Deion Sanders' Colorado Buffaloes. Both programs are in rebuilding mode, and oddsmakers are skeptical about quick turnarounds.
Iowa's path to 8 wins
For Iowa, hitting the over on 7.5 wins means finding consistency on offense while maintaining the defense's trademark toughness. The Hawkeyes have a manageable schedule, but key matchups against ranked opponents will determine whether they reach the 8-win mark.
Iowa fans know the program's history of exceeding expectations under head coach Kirk Ferentz. The Hawkeyes have a strong track record of winning close games and grinding out victories in the Big Ten West.
Iowa State faces uphill climb
Iowa State's 4.5 win total reflects a program in transition. The Cyclones have lost key players and face a brutal Big 12 schedule. Reaching 5 wins would require upsets and strong performances in non-conference play.
Still, Matt Campbell has shown he can build competitive teams. If the Cyclones can find an identity early, they could surprise the oddsmakers.
Full list of over/under win totals for 2026-27
Here are the complete over/under numbers posted at BetMGM for every FBS team:
11.5 wins
- Notre Dame
10.5 wins
- Indiana
- Miami
- Oregon
- Texas Tech
9.5 wins
- Georgia
- Ohio State
- North Dakota State
- Texas
8.5 wins
- Alabama
- BYU
- Houston
- James Madison
- Kansas State
- Liberty
- Louisville
- LSU
- Michigan
- Penn State
- SMU
- South Florida
- Texas A&M
- Utah
- USC
7.5 wins
- Air Force
- Arizona
- Army
- Boise State
- Clemson
- East Carolina
- Florida
- Hawaii
- Illinois
- Iowa
- Jacksonville State
- Louisiana
- Marshall
- Memphis
- Miami (OH)
- Navy
- NC State
- New Mexico
- ODU
- Oklahoma
- Ole Miss
- Pitt
- Tennessee
- Toledo
- Tulane
- UNLV
- UTSA
- Virginia
- Washington
- Western Michigan
6.5 wins
- Arizona State
- Arkansas State
- Auburn
- Baylor
- California
- Central Michigan
- Delaware
- FIU
- Florida State
- Fresno State
- Georgia Tech
- Kennesaw State
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- Nebraska
- Ohio
- Oklahoma State
- SDSU
- South Carolina
- TCU
- Troy
- Texas State
- UCLA
- Virginia Tech
- Western Kentucky
- Wisconsin
5.5 wins
- Appalachian State
- Buffalo
- Cincinnati
- Duke
- Eastern Michigan
- FAU
- Kansas
- La. Tech
- Maryland
- Northwestern
- North Texas
- South Alabama
- Temple
- Tulsa
- UCF
- UConn
- Vanderbilt
- Wake Forest
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
4.5 wins
- Akron
- Arkansas
- Bowling Green
- Coastal Carolina
- Colorado
- Georgia Southern
- Georgia State
- Iowa State
- Kentucky
- Michigan State
- Mississippi State
- Missouri State
- New Mexico State
- Nevada
- North Carolina
- Oregon State
- San Jose State
- Syracuse
- Utah State
- Washington State
3.5 wins
- Ball State
- Boston College
- Colorado State
- Kent State
- Louisiana-Monroe
- Middle Tennessee
- Northern Illinois
- Purdue
- Rice
- Sam Houston State
These betting lines give Iowa fans a clear target for the season. Whether the Hawkeyes can exceed 7.5 wins will depend on quarterback play, defensive stops, and a bit of luck in close games.